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 PART - I

Chapter 1

Why Do We Need Another Equation for the Prediction of Yarn Tenacity?

The Need For A Yarn Tenacity Equation
 

Cotton cost has always been the single major contributor to the cost of gray yarns. Consequently, economic cotton selection for meeting yarn specifications continues to be one of the main concerns of a spinner. Left to himself, any spinner would very much like to spin a sample of every single lot of cotton to yarn before taking the decision to buy the lot or not. However, the exigency of the situation rules out this most reliable basis for cotton selection. One has mostly to take decisions on the purchase of cotton on the basis of test reports.

 

In reading meaning out of test reports of the cotton under consideration, one has often mentally to balance the shortfall in one characteristic with the premium in another characteristic. Let us consider, for example, the two cottons in Table - I – 1 - i. Cotton ZZ is shorter and coarser, but stronger than cotton XX. Which of the two cottons would be appropriate to spin 15 tex (NE 40) hosiery yarn? Again which of the two would be appropriate for 20 tex (NE 30) warp yarn? In order to answer these questions we need to be able to complete the table by writing in the estimated tenacity of each yarn of specified count and twist from each of the two cottons. Over the years research workers have, therefore, expended considerable effort on the derivation of equations for the estimation of yarn tenacity from cotton fibre characteristics.

   
Shortcomings of Presently Available Equations
 

Most available equations can only be used to estimate CSP of yarns spun at the optimum twist. Very few equations aim at predicting CSP of yarns at a range of twists. All these equations suffer from one or both of two shortcomings: in spite of an impressive value of correlation coefficient, large errors in individual estimates of CSP, even consistent bias in the case of some cottons; not contributing to our understanding of the specific manner in which fibre-length and fibre-fineness influence the translation of fibre-tenacity to yarn tenacity. A review of two recent CSP equations will clarify the point.

   
An Example Of A Predictive Equation Of High Correlation Quotient That Incurs Large Errors In Individual Estimates
 

In 2002 Chellamani, Thanabal, Basu and Ratnam (4) proposed a fibre quality index formulated out of HVI cotton test data:

  FQI=Ls/f, where,
 
L=mean length,
s=fibre-bundle strength,
f=Micronaire value.
  On the basis of experimental spinnings they then arrived at the CSP equation:
  CSP=165((SQRT (FQI))+ 590-13C, where,
  CSP is the English count strength product,
and C is NE, the English yarn count.
 
The authors concluded: “The prediction expression gives a very close fit with the actual CSP with a high correlation of 0.986.” “The error of estimate was found to be about 150 at 95% confidence limits.”
 
A look at the errors in the estimates of the CSP of each of the 123 yarns in the SITRA spinning, Table I – 1 – ii, however, brings out some disturbing facts:-
 
The yarn CSP estimates by SITRA formula incur large errors -- even bias in the case of some cottons.
The expression consistently under-estimates the CSP of yarns from MCU5 and RCH.
The expression consistently over-estimates the CSP of yarns from DCH32, LK, S6, MECH, and LRA.
A spinner, who uses the SITRA expression and buys a lot of LRA of the quality used in their spinnings, would have bought it with the expectation of a CSP of 2307 for 30S NE. On actual spinning he will get only a CSP of 1975 for NE 30. When it comes to weaving high cover-factor fabrics, NE 30 yarn of 2307 CSP and NE 30 yarn of 1975 CSP yarn are like cheese and chalk.
 
There is an apparent paradox in the situation: high correlation coefficient, but unacceptable errors in individual estimates. Many years ago Morton (5) had cautioned investigators in this area against this pitfall. Morton remarked that the use of count as one of the independent variables ‘does nothing to advance our understanding—indeed, it tends to obscure the issue—of how fibre properties determine spinning behavior’. Count is no doubt a variable whose contribution has to be accounted for. One has, however, to be wary of the nuisance of the contribution of count to yarn tenacity boosting the value of the correlation coefficient. This is bound to happen when one spins each of the cottons used in the study to a number of counts. One then introduces a large variation in the yarn tenacity values, much of which gets accounted for in the regression equation by the easily quantified contribution of count. Merely on the basis of the high value of the correlation coefficient, one should not, therefore, erroneously conclude that the equation has effectively accounted for the contribution of cotton characteristics to yarn tenacity.
 
Can Simplicity Be The only Criterion for A General Equation?
 

Let us recall a pet sum of our middle-school arithmetic teachers. Chidambaram invested Rs.1000 at simple interest of 10% payable with the principal at the end of six years. Rashiklal invested Rs.1000 at interest of 8% accruable half-yearly for a period of six years. Who will get more money at end of six years?

  Chidambaram will get
  1000x(1+(10/100)x6)=1000x1.6=1600.
  Rashiklal will get
  1000x[1+(8/2x100)]12=1000x1.601=1601.
 

Would you want the second formula to be free of the power function just for the sake of simplicity? There is an important message for us here.

 
The way it is constructed, the SITRA equation can not tell us anything about how fibre length and fibre fineness govern the contributions of yarn irregularity and twist to the translation of fibre-tenacity into yarn-tenacity. On the contrary it leads to an erroneous conclusion. According to the equation, the yarn tenacity of a NE 45.4 (13 tex) yarn at optimum twist is given by
 
 
Therefore a 25% increase in the fibre tenacity of the cotton used to spin a NE 45.4 yarn will result in a mere 5% increase in the CS of the yarn. Further, a 25% increase in the fibre length of the cotton used to spin the yarn will also result in a 5% increase in the CS of the yarn. Is this what one would expect? Let us think it over.
 
Evidently, yarn tenacity is the manifestation of fibre tenacity. However we come across instances wherein length plays a decisive role: of two cottons of equal fibre tenacity, the one that is weaker but longer spins a yarn of equal – even more – strength than the stronger but shorter cotton. We explain this fact by reasoning that the longer cotton spins a more even yarn. Were we asked to amplify our statement, we would say some thing along these lines. “The longer fibre spins a more even yarn than the shorter fibre. In other words, for any one given yarn count, along the yarn axis, the longer-fibre yarn has less variation in the number of fibres in the cross-section than the shorter-fibre yarn. This means that, at the place of break in yarn testing, the yarn from the longer fibre will contain more number of fibres than the yarn from the shorter fibres. This can possibly explain why the yarn form from the longer, but weaker fibre is stronger than yarn from the stronger but shorter fibre. Q.E.D.” A similar explanation holds good for the difference in the CS between yarns from coarse and fine cottons. An interesting surmise emerges from this analysis. A 25% increase in fibre tenacity would result in a proportionate increase, or a near 25% increase, in yarn CS. A 25% increase in fibre length would, however, result in a rather smaller increase in yarn CS. Also one would expect that the extent of increase in CS with increasing length would be more in the short to medium staple range than in the case of long to extra long staple range.
 
To sum up: other fibre characteristics remaining the same, an increase in fibre tenacity will result in a proportionate increase in yarn tenacity; the effect on yarn tenacity of an increase in fibre length will, however, be less than proportionate, and will be subject to a diminishing return. How can, then, one grudge the use of power functions, logarithms, growth curves and the like when one is dealing with cotton that is such an expensive raw material? After all, we have computers to take over the evaluation of the most complex functions! There is need for a CSP equation that is capable of more accurate estimates and of meaningful interpretation.
   
A CSP Equation That Yields Accurate Estimates, But Tells Us Nothing About The Role Of Fibre Length And Fineness In The Translation Of Fibre Tenacity Into Yarn Tenacity
   
 
 
 
With his equation, Neelakantan achieved formidable success in getting CSP estimates of impressive accuracy -- not merely high correlation coefficient. “Only 17 out of 132 cases showed errors of prediction beyond 6% and only in two cases errors were beyond 10%.” But at what cost?
 
Let us recall our analysis of the contribution of fibre strength and fibre length to the translation of fibre tenacity to yarn tenacity. Obviously yarn gets its strength from the strength of the fibres used to spin it – a fact embodied in Neelakantan’s equation. However experience tells us that of two cottons, the one that is weaker but longer can spin a yarn of equal – even more – strength than the stronger but shorter cotton. We explain this on the basis of the yarn from the longer cotton being more regular than yarn from the shorter cotton. It holds good for yarns from coarse and fine cottons too.
 

Legitimately therefore, we expect two things from any yarn tenacity equation: i) estimates of acceptable accuracy; ii) elucidation of how fibre-length and fibre fineness govern the contributions of yarn irregularity and twist to yarn tenacity. Neither the structure of Neelakantan’s equation, nor the expressions for k, t, and d stand any such meaningful interpretation. Each of these expressions is a medley of all available fibre characteristics churned out by the computer when programmed to minimize the error of prediction. Consequently Neelakantan’s model incurs Morton’s criticism (4), that it ‘does nothing to advance our understanding—indeed, it tends to obscure the issue—of how fibre properties determine spinning behaviour’

 

Once again we see the need for a meaningful CSP equation.

 
 

Cotton

XX

ZZ

Effective length,mm

32.3

27.1

Micronaire

3.55

4.51

Stelo g/t at 1/8-inch

24.3

27.0

Cost Index

100

84

T.M.

CSP at NE

30

50

30

50

3.25

 

 

 

 

3.75

 

 

 

 

4.25

 

 

 

 

4.50

 

 

 

 

 
Table – I –1 - i Fibre Test Data on Cottons XX and ZZ
  ** Yarn not spun 
 
COTTON FQI

T.M.

%  ERROR

100s

90s

80s

70s

50s

40s

30s

20s

Suvin

369.4

3.6

5.3

 

-4.7

1.6

0.7

3.2

5.7

1.8

 

 

4.0

-3.6

 

-3.5

6.8

3.6

0.6

5.2

-0.2

 

 

4.4

-3.2

 

2.5

1.4

5.8

1.1

6.9

-0.3

DCH 32

341.9

3.8

**

 

2.3

-0.3

1.3

2.4

6.5

5.2

 

 

4.2

**

 

0.0

-0.2

1.7

1.4

4.9

5.7

 

 

4.6

**

 

1.3

1.9

2.4

1.3

5.2

7.6

MCU 5

280.2

3.9

**

-2.2

0.7

0.9

0.1

-2.6

-0.7

-2.2

 

 

4.3

**

-1.7

-0.6

-2.7

-2.4

-0.3

-0.2

-4.5

 

 

4.6

**

0.2

0.2

-4.1

2.3

0.5

1.9

-4.3

LK

215.0

4.0

**

**

**

11.0

8.8

1.7

3.6

7.3

 

 

4.4

**

**

**

6.5

4.9

1.9

8.2

3.2

 

 

4.9

**

**

**

7.9

8.0

2.5

10.5

8.9

S 6

157.0

4.0

**

**

**

4.9

12.5

-0.8

3.1

5.4

 

 

4.5

**

**

**

7.9

5.9

7.3

5.0

-0.5

 

 

5.0

**

**

**

13.9

10.0

10.3

8.5

3.1

Mech

144.3

4.1

**

**

**

**

5.8

7.5

11.3

5.5

 

 

4.6

**

**

**

**

4.5

9.4

4.4

5.5

 

 

5.0

**

**

**

**

7.0

8.4

9.2

8.7

LRA

163.1

4.2

**

**

**

**

**

20.1

14.2

17.2

 

 

4.7

**

**

**

**

**

15.5

19.8

13.3

 

 

5.1

**

**

**

**

**

16.3

18.5

15.8

RCH

107.4

4.3

**

**

**

**

**

**

-4.2

-7.9

 

 

4.8

**

**

**

**

**

**

-5.3

-8.8

 

 

5.3

**

**

**

**

**

**

-5.0

-4.2

V797

76.4

4.4

**

**

**

**

**

**

2.6

4.8

 

 

4.8

**

**

**

**

**

**

1.7

-3.0

 

 

5.3

**

**

**

**

**

**

5.8

3.4

  Table I – 1 – i i % Error In CSP Estimates By SITRA Formula
Part - I
 
Understanding And Making Use Of The Equation
   
Chapter 1

Why Do We Need Another Equation for the Prediction of Yarn Tenacity?

Chapter 2

Strcturing the General Equation for Yarn Tenacity

Chapter 3

The Algebraic Expressions for the General Equation

Chapter 4

The Choice of Parameters of Fibre-Length Distribution for Use in the Irregularity Fraction

Chapter 5
Chapter 6

Making Use of the Equation in a Mill

Chapter 7

What Does the General Equation Tell Us?

Chapter 8

How General Is The General Equation ?

Chapter 9

Can We Use the General Equation to Estimate the CSP of Yarns from Mixings of Cottons?

Chapter 10

Can We Modify the General Equation to Estimate CSP Of Combed Yarns?

Chapter 11 A Note of Caution
Chapter 12
Chapter 13 The General Equation, A Tool for Economic Cotton Selection
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